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 | The Housing Crisis in Ireland
is spiralling out of control. The unprecedented boom in housing
prices looks set to continue. If this is so, what
can be done if control is to be gained over this unbelievable growth? Is the Irish Housing
Market heading towards a Boom
/ Bust scenario and mirroring the bubble that
burst in the UK in the late 80s? Or, and this growth be sustained and a boom / burst
scenario be avoided.
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 | Little can be understood
without looking at the factors that influence the Housing Crisis.
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Why do I
call it a Crisis ? ? ?
 | I call it a crisis because a
'crisis' is what I believe it to be. House prices are shooting through the roof and demand
for housing exceeds supply in an exaggerated way.
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 | A crisis it is as it has
thwarted the spirits of First time Buyers and deflated their enthusiasm when trying to buy
their first home.
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 | And, further more, a crisis it
is as mortgage variable rates drop due to increased competition amongst the mortgage
lenders in Ireland. These interest rate drops along with competition ploys exercised by
the various mortgage lenders particularly since the outbreak of a mortgage war in August
99 enable borrowers to borrow more at lower rates of interest - Thus, fuel is added
to the fire as prices increase due to increased customer spending potential and the gap
between those who can afford to buy a house in Ireland and those who cannot is widening
even more.
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Buying a house is one of the most
important financial and economical transaction made by an individual
in his/her lifetime. Therefore, as Geoff
Kenny says in his article The Housing Market and the Macroeconomy: Evidence form
Ireland "
It is, therefore, far from surprising
to find a strong public
reaction following large movements in the price of housing relative to other goods and
services."
The analysis focuses on (i) the
effects of rising real incomes on house prices, (ii) the impact of monetary policy, i.e.
interest rates, on developments in the housing market, (iii) the nature and speed of price
adjustment in the housing market, (iv) the nature and speed of supply adjustment in the
housing market and (v) potential impacts of rising
real house prices on real consumption."
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